Back to school or … back to lockdown? The effects of opening schools on the diffusion of COVID-19 in Italian regions. (August 2022)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Alfano, Vincenzo; Ercolano, Salvatore
• Is Part Of: Socio-economic planning sciences. Number 82(2022)Part B
• Publication Date: 2022-08
• Subjects: COVID-19 -- Coronavirus -- Schools opening -- Government measures -- Panel data; H51 -- H75 -- I18; Planning -- Periodicals; Economic policy -- Periodicals; Social policy -- Periodicals; Planification -- Périodiques; Politique économique -- Périodiques; Politique sociale -- Périodiques; ECONOMIC PLANNING; SOCIAL PLANNING; DECISION-MAKING; 361
• DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2022.101260
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0038-0121

Abstract

Abstract: The opening of schools that coincided with the beginning of fall 2020 and the arrival of the second wave of COVID-19 in continental Europe has fostered significant debate in several countries. Some contributions have suggested that youngsters play a minor role in the spread of the virus, given the specific characteristics of this infection; other scholars have raised concerns about the necessary movement that involves keeping schools open, and the consequent potential spread of the virus. In this study, we focus on the Italian case, an interesting setting in which to test the impact of opening schools on the spread of COVID-19, because of the different dates at which schools have opened in the various Italian provinces, and because of the different rates at which the virus has spread across Italy. Our results suggest that open schools have a positive impact on COVID-19 cases, whose spread occurs between 10 and 14 days after opening. While closing schools or using distance learning have other social and economic consequences, making it necessary for policymakers to adopt a holistic evaluation, it should be taken into account that open schools have an impact on the spread of the pandemic. Highlights: School openings is correlated with an increase in new cases; There is an increase in contagion 11 days after the opening of schools; Cases keep growing up at least to 21 days afterwards the opening;