Predictive Validity of National Basketball Association Draft Combine on Future Performance. Issue 2 (February 2018)
- Record Type:
- Journal Article
- Title:
- Predictive Validity of National Basketball Association Draft Combine on Future Performance. Issue 2 (February 2018)
- Main Title:
- Predictive Validity of National Basketball Association Draft Combine on Future Performance
- Authors:
- Teramoto, Masaru
Cross, Chad L.
Rieger, Randall H.
Maak, Travis G.
Willick, Stuart E. - Abstract:
- Abstract : Abstract: Teramoto, M, Cross, CL, Rieger, RH, Maak, TG, and Willick, SE. Predictive validity of national basketball association draft combine on future performance. J Strength Cond Res 32(2): 396–408, 2018—The National Basketball Association (NBA) Draft Combine is an annual event where prospective players are evaluated in terms of their athletic abilities and basketball skills. Data collected at the Combine should help NBA teams select right the players for the upcoming NBA draft; however, its value for predicting future performance of players has not been examined. This study investigated predictive validity of the NBA Draft Combine on future performance of basketball players. We performed a principal component analysis (PCA) on the 2010–2015 Combine data to reduce correlated variables ( N = 234), a correlation analysis on the Combine data and future on-court performance to examine relationships (maximum pairwise N = 217), and a robust principal component regression (PCR) analysis to predict first-year and 3-year on-court performance from the Combine measures ( N = 148 and 127, respectively). Three components were identified within the Combine data through PCA (= Combine subscales): length-size, power-quickness, and upper-body strength. As per the correlation analysis, the individual Combine items for anthropometrics, including height without shoes, standing reach, weight, wingspan, and hand length, as well as the Combine subscale of length-size, had positive,Abstract : Abstract: Teramoto, M, Cross, CL, Rieger, RH, Maak, TG, and Willick, SE. Predictive validity of national basketball association draft combine on future performance. J Strength Cond Res 32(2): 396–408, 2018—The National Basketball Association (NBA) Draft Combine is an annual event where prospective players are evaluated in terms of their athletic abilities and basketball skills. Data collected at the Combine should help NBA teams select right the players for the upcoming NBA draft; however, its value for predicting future performance of players has not been examined. This study investigated predictive validity of the NBA Draft Combine on future performance of basketball players. We performed a principal component analysis (PCA) on the 2010–2015 Combine data to reduce correlated variables ( N = 234), a correlation analysis on the Combine data and future on-court performance to examine relationships (maximum pairwise N = 217), and a robust principal component regression (PCR) analysis to predict first-year and 3-year on-court performance from the Combine measures ( N = 148 and 127, respectively). Three components were identified within the Combine data through PCA (= Combine subscales): length-size, power-quickness, and upper-body strength. As per the correlation analysis, the individual Combine items for anthropometrics, including height without shoes, standing reach, weight, wingspan, and hand length, as well as the Combine subscale of length-size, had positive, medium-to-large–sized correlations ( r = 0.313–0.545) with defensive performance quantified by Defensive Box Plus/Minus. The robust PCR analysis showed that the Combine subscale of length-size was a predictor most significantly associated with future on-court performance ( p ⩽ 0.05), including Win Shares, Box Plus/Minus, and Value Over Replacement Player, followed by upper-body strength. In conclusion, the NBA Draft Combine has value for predicting future performance of players. … (more)
- Is Part Of:
- Journal of strength and conditioning research. Volume 32:Issue 2(2018)
- Journal:
- Journal of strength and conditioning research
- Issue:
- Volume 32:Issue 2(2018)
- Issue Display:
- Volume 32, Issue 2 (2018)
- Year:
- 2018
- Volume:
- 32
- Issue:
- 2
- Issue Sort Value:
- 2018-0032-0002-0000
- Page Start:
- Page End:
- Publication Date:
- 2018-02
- Subjects:
- player evaluation -- principal component analysis -- correlation analysis -- robust principal component regression analysis -- advanced statistics
Physical education and training -- Periodicals
Weight training -- Physiological aspects -- Periodicals
Physical fitness -- Periodicals
613.7 - Journal URLs:
- http://journals.lww.com/nsca-jscr/pages/default.aspx ↗
http://journals.lww.com ↗ - DOI:
- 10.1519/JSC.0000000000001798 ↗
- Languages:
- English
- ISSNs:
- 1064-8011
- Deposit Type:
- Legaldeposit
- View Content:
- Available online (eLD content is only available in our Reading Rooms) ↗
- Physical Locations:
- British Library DSC - 5066.873700
British Library DSC - BLDSS-3PM
British Library HMNTS - ELD Digital store - Ingest File:
- 9030.xml