Expert Judgment for Climate Change Adaptation. Issue 5 (December 2016)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Thompson, Erica; Frigg, Roman; Helgeson, Casey
• Is Part Of: Philosophy of science. Volume 83:Issue 5(2016)
• Page Start: 1110
• Page End: 1121
• Publication Date: 2016-12
• Subjects: Science -- Periodicals; Science -- Philosophy; Science; Science -- Philosophy; Philosophie des sciences; Epistemology; Periodicals; 501
• DOI: 10.1086/687942
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 1539-767X

Abstract

Abstract : Climate change adaptation is largely a local matter, and adaptation planning can benefit from local climate change projections. Such projections are typically generated by accepting climate model outputs in a relatively uncritical way. We argue, based on the IPCC's treatment of model outputs from the CMIP5 ensemble, that this approach is unwarranted and that subjective expert judgment should play a central role in the provision of local climate change projections intended to support decision-making.