He Elationship Between Education and Fertility in the Presence of a Time Varying Frailty Component. (28th January 2015)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Gottard, Anna; Mattei, Alessandra; Vignoli, Daniele
• Is Part Of: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Volume 178:Number 4(2015:Oct.)
• Page Start: 863
• Page End: 881
• Publication Date: 2015-01-28
• Subjects: Bayesian inference -- Event history analysis -- Italian fertility -- Time varying heterogeneity; Social sciences -- Statistical methods -- Periodicals; Statistics -- Periodicals; 300.15195
• DOI: 10.1111/rssa.12097
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0964-1998

Abstract

Summary: The paper investigates the relationship between fertility and women's education in Italy, using data from the 2009 Household Multipurpose Survey of Family and Social Subjects. We use event history models, adopting a Bayesian approach for inference to study the association between fertility and women's education in the presence of a time varying unobserved component. Our analysis shows that either disregarding the unobserved component or assuming a time constant unobserved heterogeneity can lead to misleading results, at least in the context studied.