Social and material vulnerability in the face of seismic hazard: An analysis of the Italian case. (23rd August 2021)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Didkovskyi, Oleksandr; Azzone, Giovanni; Menafoglio, Alessandra; Secchi, Piercesare
• Is Part Of: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Volume 184:Number 4(2021)
• Page Start: 1549
• Page End: 1577
• Publication Date: 2021-08-23
• Subjects: compositional data -- Copeland's method -- LISA maps -- official data fusion -- permutational inference -- precision policies for risk reduction; Social sciences -- Statistical methods -- Periodicals; Statistics -- Periodicals; 300.15195
• DOI: 10.1111/rssa.12739
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0964-1998

Abstract

Abstract: The assessment of the vulnerability of a community endangerd by seismic hazard is of paramount importance for planning a precision policy aimed at the prevention and reduction of its seismic risk. We aim at measuring the vulnerability of the Italian municipalities exposed to seismic hazard, by analysing the open data offered by the Mappa dei Rischi dei Comuni Italiani provided by ISTAT, the Italian National Institute of Statistics. Encompassing the Index of Social and Material Vulnerability already computed by ISTAT, we also consider as referents of the latent social and material vulnerability of a community, its demographic dynamics and the age of the building stock where the community resides. Fusing the analyses of different indicators, within the context of seismic risk we offer a tentative ranking of the Italian municipalities in terms of their social and material vulnerability, together with differential profiles of their dominant fragilities which constitute the basis for planning precision policies aimed at seismic risk prevention and reduction.