Combining government, non-pharmaceutical interventions and vaccination in optimal control COVID-19. (2nd January 2023)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Bohloli, Hamid; Jamshidi, Hamid Reza; Ebraze, Ali; Rabbani Khah, Fahimeh
• Is Part Of: International journal of healthcare management. Volume 16:Number 1(2023)
• Page Start: 61
• Page End: 69
• Publication Date: 2023-01-02
• Subjects: Contingency-point intervention -- COVID-19 pandemic -- modeling -- non-pharmaceutical interventions -- policy-making; Health services administration -- Periodicals; Medical care -- Marketing -- Periodicals; 362.1068
• DOI: 10.1080/20479700.2022.2071803
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 2047-9700

Abstract

ABSTRACT: This study reviews the scope of scientific literature to convey extensive multi-factor studies for recognizing various government and behavioral interventions in controlling the COVID-19 globally to determine the extent and nature of these interventions. We provide a novel theory and formula for contingency action based on the COVID-19 Sine Wave points to control the pandemic. Rather than telling policy-makers what to do, the theory tells them what to do at any given time. It emphasizes the importance of time in managing a contagious disease like COVID-19, which is the novelty and difference between this article and others. In this regard, the novel Sine Wave Contingency-Point Interventions (SWCPI) Model is presented. We propose a model that predicts the path of epidemics and evaluates the impact of various strategies to curb the spread of infection. This model includes government interventions [(GI: quarantine, large traffic restrictions, Law enforcement, (LES: logistic, economic and security supports)] and Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions (NPIs: washing hands, use of face mask, social distancing, local traffic restriction, and suitable air condition) and urban health interventions (4T: Timing, Testing, Tracing and Treatment). If these contingency interventions are implemented seriously and regularly, it could control the COVID-19 and flatten the subsequent waves.