Atmosphere air temperature forecasting using the honey badger optimization algorithm: on the warmest and coldest areas of the world. Issue 1 (31st December 2023)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Zhou, Jincheng; Wang, Dan; Band, Shahab S.; Mirzania, Ehsan; Roshni, Thendiyath
• Is Part Of: Engineering applications of computational fluid mechanics. Volume 17:Issue 1(2023)
• Publication Date: 2023-12-31
• Subjects: Air temperature -- artificial neural network -- forecasting -- honey badger algorithm -- hybrid model -- warmest and coldest regions; Computational fluid dynamics -- Periodicals; 620.10640285
• DOI: 10.1080/19942060.2023.2174189
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 1994-2060

Abstract

Abstract : Precisely forecasting air temperature as a significant meteorological parameter has a critical role in environment quality management. Hence, this study employs a hybrid intelligent model for accurately monthly temperature forecasting for one to three times ahead in the hottest and coldest regions of the world. The hybrid model contains the artificial neural network (ANN) hybridized with the powerful hetaeristic Honey Badger Algorithm (HBA-ANN). The average mutual information (AMI) technique is employed to find the optimal time delay values for the temperature variable for different time horizons. Finally, the performance of the developed hybrid model is compared with the classical ANN and the Gene Expression Programming (GEP) using some statistical criteria, and the Taylor and scatter diagrams. Results indicated that in each time horizon, the HBA-ANN model with the lowest distance from observation points based on Taylor diagram, high values for NSE and R 2, and low values for RMSE, MAE, and RSR outperformed the ANN and GEP models in both training and testing phases. Hence, using the Honey Badger Algorithm could increase the accuracy of the model. This model's precise performance supports the case for it to be employed to forecast other environmental parameters.