Simulating Change in Cultural Landscapes: The Integration of Historic Landscape Characterisation and Computer Modelling. (2nd July 2020)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Erdoğan, Nurdan; Carrer, Francesco; Tonyaloğlu, Ebru Ersoy; Çavdar, Betül; Varinlioğlu, Günder; Şerifoğlu, Tevfik Emre; Jackson, Mark; Kurtsan, Kübra; Nurlu, Engin; Turner, Sam
• Is Part Of: Landscapes. Volume 21:Number 2(2020)
• Page Start: 168
• Page End: 182
• Publication Date: 2020-07-02
• Subjects: Cultural landscapes -- historic landscape characterisation -- simulation -- computer modelling -- Turkey; Landscape -- History -- Periodicals; Landscape -- Social aspects -- Periodicals; Landscape archaeology -- Periodicals; Historical geography -- Periodicals; 911.09
• DOI: 10.1080/14662035.2021.1964767
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 1466-2035

Abstract

ABSTRACT: More than 80 per cent of the world's landscapes are influenced significantly by human activities, and current land-use and land cover trends are likely to increase the rate of landscape change at a significant rate in the near future. To manage and guide landscape change, and an advocacy of positive landscape change – rather than attempts to stop change as in traditional preservationist approaches – requires the identification of threats and opportunities. Tools to do this will need to be based on well-investigated evidence for the long-term past evolution of landscapes and the understanding of possible future scenarios for change. Historic landscape characterisation (HLC) is a GIS-based method employed to interpret and study landscapes with a particular focus on representing and mapping the aspects of landscape character which result from past cultural processes. This paper introduces a new protocol which uses HLC data to model future landscape evolution and to simulate scenarios of landscape change. It describes a computer-based simulation framework derived from landscape ecology and used with HLC datasets during research on a region in southern Turkey. Such integrated modelling protocols have the potential to assist landscape planners to develop holistic and informative approaches to managing landscape change.