The Application of Improved Neural Network Algorithm Based on Particle Group in Short-term Load Prediction. Issue 4 (January 2021)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Ning, Yuan; Zhang, Tianyin; Zhang, Teng
• Is Part Of: IOP conference series. Volume 632:Issue 4(2021)
• Publication Date: 2021-01
• Subjects: Power load prediction -- Factor analysis -- BP neural network -- Particle cluster algorithm; Earth sciences -- Periodicals; Environmental sciences -- Congresses; Environmental sciences -- Periodicals; 550.5
• DOI: 10.1088/1755-1315/632/4/042045
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 1755-1307

Abstract

Abstract: Short-term load forecasting is the basis of power system operation and analysis, and is of great significance to unit composition, economic scheduling, safety verification and so on. In modern power system, the influence of meteorological factors on power system load is becoming more and more prominent. However, the traditional model fails to take into account the weather factors that affect the load change, and when the weather changes greatly, the model prediction error is large. Therefore, based on the factor analysis of five meteorological factors, a neural network prediction model combining particle group algorithm is established, and the working day load of a region is predicted, compared with the actual load, the average relative error is 1.24% and the maximum relative error is 6.50%. It shows that the model has high precision. The prediction results of the model also provide the basis for the load adjustment of the power system.