Flight range, fuel load and the impact of climate change on the journeys of migrant birds. Issue 1873 (28th February 2018)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Howard, Christine; Stephens, Philip A.; Tobias, Joseph A.; Sheard, Catherine; Butchart, Stuart H. M.; Willis, Stephen G.
• Is Part Of: Proceedings. Volume 285:Issue 1873(2018)
• Publication Date: 2018-02-28
• Subjects: migration -- climate change -- Afro-Palaearctic migrants -- distance -- duration -- stopovers; Biology -- Periodicals; 570.5
• DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2017.2329
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0962-8452

Abstract

Abstract : Climate change is predicted to increase migration distances for many migratory species, but the physiological and temporal implications of longer migratory journeys have not been explored. Here, we combine information about species' flight range potential and migratory refuelling requirements to simulate the number of stopovers required and the duration of current migratory journeys for 77 bird species breeding in Europe. Using tracking data, we show that our estimates accord with recorded journey times and stopovers for most species. We then combine projections of altered migratory distances under climate change with models of avian flight to predict future migratory journeys. We find that 37% of migratory journeys undertaken by long-distance migrants will necessitate an additional stopover in future. These greater distances and the increased number of stops will substantially increase overall journey durations of many long-distance migratory species, a factor not currently considered in climate impact studies.