Can a measurement error perspective improve estimation in neighborhood effects research? A hierarchical Bayesian methodology. (23rd June 2022)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Mayer, Duncan J.; Fischer, Robert L.
• Is Part Of: Social science quarterly. Volume 103:Number 5(2022)
• Page Start: 1260
• Page End: 1272
• Publication Date: 2022-06-23
• Subjects: measurement error -- Bayesian inference -- census -- neighborhood effects -- crime -- child welfare; Political science -- Periodicals; Social sciences -- Periodicals; 300
• DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.13190
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0038-4941

Abstract

Abstract: Objective: Neighborhood effects research often employs aggregate data at small geographic areas to understand neighborhood processes. This article investigates whether empirical applications of neighborhood effects research benefit from a measurement error perspective. Methods: The article situates neighborhood effects research in a measurement error framework and then details a Bayesian methodology capable of addressing measurement concerns. We compare the proposed model to conventional linear models on crime data from Detroit, Michigan, as well as two simulated examples that closely mirror the sampling process. Results: The Detroit data example shows that the proposed model makes substantial differences to parameters of interest and reduces the mean squared error. The simulations confirm the benefit of the proposed model, regularly recovering parameters and conveying uncertainty where conventional linear models fail. Conclusion: A measurement error perspective can improve estimation for data aggregated at small geographic areas.