Guidance on Uncertainty Analysis in Scientific Assessments. (24th January 2018)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Benford, Diane; Halldorsson, Thorhallur; Jeger, Michael John; Knutsen, Helle Katrine; More, Simon; Naegeli, Hanspeter; Noteborn, Hubert; Ockleford, Colin; Ricci, Antonia; Rychen, Guido; Schlatter, Josef R; Silano, Vittorio; Solecki, Roland; Turck, Dominique; Younes, Maged; Craig, Peter; Hart, Andrew; Von Goetz, Natalie; Koutsoumanis, Kostas; Mortensen, Alicja; Ossendorp, Bernadette; Martino, Laura; Merten, Caroline; Mosbach‐Schulz, Olaf; Hardy, Anthony
• Is Part Of: EFSA journal. Volume 16:Number 1(2018)
• Page Start: n/a
• Page End: n/a
• Publication Date: 2018-01-24
• Subjects: uncertainty analysis -- scientific assessment -- guidance; Food -- Europe -- Safety measures -- Periodicals; Food Safety; Food -- Safety measures; Europe; Periodicals; Periodicals; Fulltext; Government Publications, International; Internet Resources; Periodicals; Periodicals; 363.19209405
• DOI: 10.2903/j.efsa.2018.5123
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 1831-4732

Abstract

Abstract: Uncertainty analysis is the process of identifying limitations in scientific knowledge and evaluating their implications for scientific conclusions. It is therefore relevant in all EFSA's scientific assessments and also necessary, to ensure that the assessment conclusions provide reliable information for decision‐making. The form and extent of uncertainty analysis, and how the conclusions should be reported, vary widely depending on the nature and context of each assessment and the degree of uncertainty that is present. This document provides concise guidance on how to identify which options for uncertainty analysis are appropriate in each assessment, and how to apply them. It is accompanied by a separate, supporting opinion that explains the key concepts and principles behind this Guidance, and describes the methods in more detail. Abstract : This publication is linked to the following EFSA Journal article: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.2903/j.efsa.2018.5122/full