Developing a Local Neurofuzzy Model for Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting. (16th July 2014)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Faghihnia, E.; Salahshour, S.; Ahmadian, A.; Senu, N.
• Other Names: Jafari Hossein Academic Editor.
• Is Part Of: Advances in mathematical physics. Volume 2014(2014)
• Publication Date: 2014-07-16
• Subjects: Mathematical physics -- Periodicals; Mathematical physics; Periodicals; 530.15
• DOI: 10.1155/2014/637017
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 1687-9120

Abstract

Abstract : Large scale integration of wind generation capacity into power systems introduces operational challenges due to wind power uncertainty and variability. Therefore, accurate wind power forecast is important for reliable and economic operation of the power systems. Complexities and nonlinearities exhibited by wind power time series necessitate use of elaborative and sophisticated approaches for wind power forecasting. In this paper, a local neurofuzzy (LNF) approach, trained by the polynomial model tree (POLYMOT) learning algorithm, is proposed for short-term wind power forecasting. The LNF approach is constructed based on the contribution of local polynomial models which can efficiently model wind power generation. Data from Sotavento wind farm in Spain was used to validate the proposed LNF approach. Comparison between performance of the proposed approach and several recently published approaches illustrates capability of the LNF model for accurate wind power forecasting.