A comparison of different approaches for the definition of seasons in the Mediterranean region. (20th August 2021)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Kotsias, George; Lolis, Christos J.; Hatzianastassiou, Nikolaos; Lionello, Piero; Bartzokas, Aristides
• Is Part Of: International journal of climatology. Volume 42:Number 3(2022)
• Page Start: 1954
• Page End: 1974
• Publication Date: 2021-08-20
• Subjects: cluster analysis -- definition of seasons -- Mediterranean climate -- principal component analysis -- weather types; Climatology -- Periodicals; Climat -- Périodiques; Climatologie -- Périodiques; 551.605
• DOI: 10.1002/joc.7345
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0899-8418

Abstract

Abstract: Α new method, based on the definition of weather types (WTs), for the determination of seasons in the Mediterranean region is adopted. This method combines principal component analysis and k‐means Cluster Analysis on daily grid point meteorological data for the 70‐year period 1949–2018 obtained from the NCEP/NCAR database. At first, the method is applied to the classification of WTs and subsequently to the definition of seasons based on the mean intra‐annual variations of the WTs' frequency. The resulting seasons are compared to a previous method of the seasons' definition, based on the long‐term mean intra‐annual variations of climatological parameters. Furthermore, a synthesis of the two methods is proposed. The analysis is applied not only to the 70‐year period 1949–2018, but also to the five overlapping 30‐year sub‐periods 1949–1978, 1959–1988, 1969–1998, 1979–2008, 1989–2018 in order to investigate possible long‐term changes of the seasons' characteristics. Four seasons are identified for all periods and for both methodological approaches. These seasons broadly correspond to the four conventional ones, but they differ in their onset and cessation dates as well as their duration. For the composite method, it is found that winter lasts about 4 months, summer is a little longer than 3 months and spring and autumn last around 2.5 months. The most remarkable findings regarding the seasons' characteristics are: (a) the start/end dates and duration of winter are almost identical in all three approaches, while summers' characteristics differ; (b) shortening of winter and spring in recent periods, associated with the delayed start and expedited end dates, respectively; and (c) the prolongation of autumn and summer, due to the delay of its end date, and the earlier onset and delayed end dates, respectively. Abstract : An objective determination of Mediterranean seasons during the last 70‐year period is attempted based on the intra‐annual variations of the frequency of weather types (a) and the results are compared to the results of two other methods based on: the mean intra‐annual variations of the meteorological variables (b), and the synthesis of the two aforementioned methods (c). In all approaches, four seasons are defined. These seasons correspond to the conventional ones (winter, spring, summer, autumn) but differ in the duration, start and end dates, as shown in the figure.