A Bayesian framework for functional calibration of expensive computational models through non-isometric matching. (11th July 2020)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Farmanesh, Babak; Pourhabib, Arash; Balasundaram, Balabhaskar; Buchanan, Austin
• Is Part Of: IISE transactions. Volume 53:Number 3(2021)
• Page Start: 352
• Page End: 364
• Publication Date: 2020-07-11
• Subjects: Functional calibration -- Gaussian process -- Generalized minimum spanning tree; Industrial engineering -- Periodicals; Systems engineering -- Periodicals; Industrial engineering; Systems engineering; Electronic journals; Periodicals; 670.285
• DOI: 10.1080/24725854.2020.1774688
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 2472-5854

Abstract

Abstract: We study statistical calibration, i.e., adjusting features of a computational model that are not observable or controllable in its associated physical system. We focus on functional calibration, which arises in many manufacturing processes where the unobservable features, called calibration variables, are a function of the input variables. A major challenge in many applications is that computational models are expensive and can only be evaluated a limited number of times. Furthermore, without making strong assumptions, the calibration variables are not identifiable. We propose Bayesian Non-isometric Matching Calibration (BNMC) that allows calibration of expensive computational models with only a limited number of samples taken from a computational model and its associated physical system. BNMC replaces the computational model with a dynamic Gaussian process whose parameters are trained in the calibration procedure. To resolve the identifiability issue, we present the calibration problem from a geometric perspective of non-isometric curve to surface matching, which enables us to take advantage of combinatorial optimization techniques to extract necessary information for constructing prior distributions. Our numerical experiments demonstrate that in terms of prediction accuracy BNMC outperforms, or is comparable to, other existing calibration frameworks.