Evidence, probability and relative plausibility. (October 2022)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Aitken, Colin; Taroni, Franco; Bozza, Silvia
• Is Part Of: International journal of evidence & proof. Volume 26:Number 4(2022)
• Page Start: 309
• Page End: 324
• Publication Date: 2022-10
• Subjects: conjunction -- interpretation -- likelihood ratio -- overlapping problem -- relative plausibility; Evidence (Law) -- Periodicals; 347.06
• DOI: 10.1177/13657127221114508
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 1365-7127

Abstract

A comparison is made between probability and relative plausibility as approaches for the interpretation of evidence. It is argued that a probabilistic approach is capable of answering the criticisms of the proponents of relative plausibility. It is also shown that a probabilistic approach can answer the problem of overlapping where there is evidence that each side claims supports its theory of what happened.