MO890: Modifiable and Non-Modifiable Factors Associated With Increased COVID-19 Related Mortality Among Dialysis Patients. (3rd May 2022)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Carioni, Paola; Kooman, Jeroen; Stuard, Stefano; Kotanko, Peter; Usvyat, Len A; Kovarova, Vratislava; Arkossy, Otto; Bellocchio, Francesco; Tupputi, Antonio; Winter, Anke; Zhang, Yan; Zhang, Hanjie; Larkin, John; Neri, Luca
• Is Part Of: Nephrology dialysis transplantation. Volume 37(2022)Supplement 3
• Publication Date: 2022-05-03
• Subjects: Nephrology -- Periodicals; Hemodialysis -- Periodicals; Kidneys -- Transplantation -- Periodicals; Hemodialysis; Kidneys -- Transplantation; Nephrology; Periodicals; 616.61
• DOI: 10.1093/ndt/gfac083.072
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0931-0509

Abstract

Abstract: BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) face higher risk for severe outcomes from COVID-19 infection. Moreover, it is not well known to which extent potentially modifiable risk factors contribute to mortality risk. In this study, we investigated the incidence and risk factors for 30-day case-fatality of COVID-19 in haemodialysis patients treated in the European Fresenius Medical Care (FMC) Nephrocare network. METHOD: In this historical cohort study, we included unvaccinated adult dialysis patients with a first documented SARS-CoV-2 infection between 1 February 2020 and 31 March 2021 (study period) registered in the European Clinical Database (EuCliD®). The first SARS-CoV-2 suspicion date for all documented infections was considered the index date for the analysis. Patients were followed for up to 30 days. Follow-up time was defined from the index date until the date of death, end of follow-up period or lost to follow-up, whichever occurred first. We ascertained patients' characteristics in the 6-month period prior to index date. We used logistic regression and XGBoost to assess risk factors for 30-day mortality. RESULTS: We included 9211 patients meeting the inclusion criteria for the study (Table 1 ). Age was 65.4 ± 13.7 years, dialysis vintage was 4.2 ± 3.7 years. In the follow up period, 1912 patients died within 30 days (20.8%, 95% confidence interval: 19.9%–21.6%). Correlates of COVID-19 related mortality are summarized in Table 2 . Several potentially modifiable factors were associated with increased risk of death: patients on HD compared with online haemodiafiltration had shorter survival after presentation with COVID-19 as well as those who did not achieve the therapeutic targets for serum albumin, erythropoietin resistance index, protein catabolic rate, haemodynamic status, C-reactive protein, single-pool Kt/V, hydration status and serum sodium in the months before infection. The discrimination accuracy of prediction models developed with XGBoost was similar to that observed for main-effect logistic regression (AUC 0.69 and 0.71, respectively) suggesting that no major cross-interaction and non-linear effect could improve prediction accuracy. CONCLUSION: We observed high 30-day COVID-19 related mortality among unvaccinated dialysis patients. Older patients, men and those with greater comorbidities had higher risk of death after COVID-19 infection. Derangement in potentially modifiable factors in the 6 months prior to COVID-19 infection was independently associated with increased mortality. Whether achievement of clinical therapeutic targets is associated with improved survival after COVID-19 infection is a matter of further research.