Seasonal components of infant mortality at the onset of the transition reveal the role of water-borne and air-borne diseases: the case of the Don Army Territory (Southern Russia), 1872–1915. Issue 1 (12th January 2021)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Bonneuil, Noël; Fursa, Elena
• Is Part Of: Historical methods. Volume 54:Issue 1(2021)
• Page Start: 44
• Page End: 62
• Publication Date: 2021-01-12
• Subjects: Infant mortality -- seasonality -- mortality transition; Social sciences -- Periodicals; Onderzoeksmethoden; Electronic journals; Périodique électronique (Descripteur de forme); Ressource Internet (Descripteur de forme); 300.5
• DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2020.1754984
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0161-5440

Abstract

Abstract: Seasonal components of infant probabilities of dying are disentangled from monthly death statistics by age and birth by articulating demographic equations and stochastic optimization. In the Don Army Territory, for the period 1872–1915, these components reflect respiratory diseases in autumn and spring, dehydration and waterborne diseases in summer, and cold stress in winter. During the warmer months, they were lower in cities. Summer heat had a lethal effect, mitigated by precipitation; illegitimate infants were exposed to the change of season; high winds increased mortality in late winter for 0–5 month infants and in summer for 6–11 month infants in cities. By the turn of the century, mortality had decreased, thanks to the gradual purification of water supplies and improved health practices.