Local reliability based sensitivity analysis with the moving particles method. (March 2021)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Proppe, Carsten
• Is Part Of: Reliability engineering & system safety. Volume 207(2021)
• Publication Date: 2021-03
• Subjects: Local sensitivity analysis -- Reliability -- Multilevel method -- Moving particles; Reliability (Engineering) -- Periodicals; System safety -- Periodicals; Industrial safety -- Periodicals; Fiabilité -- Périodiques; Sécurité des systèmes -- Périodiques; Sécurité du travail -- Périodiques; 620.00452
• DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2020.107269
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0951-8320

Abstract

Highlights: The moving particles method is extended to sensitivity analysis. A multilevel method for sensitivity analysis is developed. The multilevel method reduces the variance of the sensitivity estimator. Abstract: Local reliability sensitivity methods aim at determining the partial derivatives of the failure probability or the reliability index with respect to model parameters. For efficient local reliability based sensitivity analysis, it is important to avoid repeated evaluations of the performance function. To this end, an extension of the moving particles method to local reliability based sensitivity analysis is presented that is completely based on the already evaluated samples for the reliability estimate and thus avoids repeated evaluations of the performance function. In order to further reduce the variance of the estimator and to increase the efficiency, a multilevel variant of the estimator is proposed. The method is discussed in detail and illustrated by means of examples.