Arctic shipping risk management: A bibliometric analysis and a systematic review of risk influencing factors of navigational accidents. (July 2021)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Fu, Shanshan; Goerlandt, Floris; Xi, Yongtao
• Is Part Of: Safety science. Volume 139(2021)
• Publication Date: 2021-07
• Subjects: Arctic shipping -- Risk management -- Bibliometrics -- Scientometrics -- Maritime safety -- Maritime transportation; BN Bayesian Network -- CFREF Canada First Research Excellent Fund -- DBN Dynamic Bayesian Network -- OOBN Object-Oriented Bayesian Network -- FSA Formal Safety Assessment -- ETA Event Tree Analysis -- FTA Fault Tree Analysis -- FETA Fuzzy-Event Tree Analysis -- FFTA Fuzzy-Fault Tree Analysis -- FMECA Failure Mode, Effects and Criticality Analysis -- FRAM Functional Resonance Analysis Method -- HFACS Human Factors Analysis and Classification System -- IMO International Maritime Organization -- NSFC National Natural Science Foundation of China -- NEP North-East Passage -- NSR Northern Sea Route -- NWP North-West Passage -- QRA Quantitative Risk Assessment -- RIF Risk Influencing Factor -- STAMP System-Theoretic Accident Model and Processes -- WoS Web of Science; Industrial accidents -- Periodicals; Accident Prevention -- Periodicals; Safety -- Periodicals; Travail -- Accidents -- Périodiques; 363.11
• DOI: 10.1016/j.ssci.2021.105254
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0925-7535

Abstract

Highlights: Bibliographic analysis of literature on Arctic shipping risk management is presented. Patterns in year and journal of publication, keywords, and country of origin are analyzed. Systematic review of articles presenting quantitative risk analyses of navigational accidents is made. Risk Influencing Factors are extracted and synthesized in a qualitative model. Abstract: With the diminishing extents of Arctic sea ice, Arctic shipping becomes increasingly attractive for the shipping industry. Voyages along Arctic sea routes have seen a significant increase in recent years. Given the harsh environment, shipping operations in the Arctic constitute a hazardous activity for people onboard vessels, while vessels pose risks to vulnerable ecosystems and traditional socio-cultural environments. Given this emerging trend, this paper presents a bibliometric analysis of the broad academic literature related to risk management of Arctic shipping, published in the period from 2000 to 2019. Based on 221 articles, the bibliometric analyses provide insights in publication patterns concerning the year of publication, keywords, journals, and countries/regions from which the work originates. Furthermore, through a qualitative systematic review, this article presents a synthesis of risk influencing factors (RIFs) of navigational accidents in the Arctic, based on published quantitative risk models containing accident scenarios in Arctic shipping. To this effect, ten papers are investigated in detail, focusing on the scenario, methods, data sources, and RIFs. Identifying major thematic clusters in the RIFs, a model is proposed for synthesizing and illustrating the relationships among environmental and ship-related RIFs, and accident scenarios in Arctic shipping. A discussion is made concerning challenges in the research domain and future research directions, focusing on the strength of evidence in the risk models, the use of linear versus complex, systemic accident theories, and on the alignment of academic work with focus issues in regulatory contexts.