Futures Triangle 2.0: integrating the Futures Triangle with Scenario Planning. Issue 2 (13th January 2020)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Fergnani, Alessandro
• Is Part Of: Foresight. Volume 22:Issue 2(2020)
• Page Start: 178
• Page End: 188
• Publication Date: 2020-01-13
• Subjects: Futures Triangle -- Visualization -- Scenario Planning -- Graphic -- Futures method -- Foresight method; Forecasting -- Periodicals; Policy sciences -- Periodicals; 320.05
• DOI: 10.1108/FS-10-2019-0092
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 1463-6689

Abstract

Abstract : Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to introduce the Futures Triangle 2.0, a methodological advancement of the Futures Triangle method (Inayatullah, 2008), which better integrates the original method with Scenario Planning by visually representing scenarios against the three dimensions of the Triangle, i.e. pulls, pushes and weights. Design/methodology/approach: The paper explains the theoretical rationale behind the creation of the method, outlines the steps required to use it in a futures workshop or in a futures research project with a step-by-step procedure and reports a case study of its application in practice. Findings: The Futures Triangle 2.0 encourages a deliberate and systematic discussion on the three dimensions of the Futures Triangle in each scenario and on whether scenarios differ in these attributes. The method allows the foresight researcher/practitioner to capture the valuable tensions between weights on the past on one hand and pushes of the present/pulls of the futures on the other hand, and to make sure that the scenarios differ substantially in these three attributes. Originality/value: The method integrates the Futures Triangle and Scenario Planning in an intuitive, easily reproducible and visually pleasant graphical procedure.