Empirical likelihood test for the application of swqmele in fitting an arma‐garch model. (18th October 2020)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Zhou, Mo; Peng, Liang; Zhang, Rongmao
• Is Part Of: Journal of time series analysis. Volume 42:Number 2(2021)
• Page Start: 222
• Page End: 239
• Publication Date: 2020-10-18
• Subjects: ARMA‐GARCH model -- empirical likelihood -- quasi‐maximum likelihood estimation -- self‐weighted quasi maximum exponential likelihood estimation; Time-series analysis -- Periodicals; 519.232
• DOI: 10.1111/jtsa.12563
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0143-9782

Abstract

Abstract : Fitting an ARMA‐GARCH model has become a common practice in financial econometrics. Because the asymptotic normality of the quasi maximum likelihood estimation (QMLE) requires finite fourth moment for both errors and the sequence itself, self‐weighted quasi maximum exponential likelihood estimation (SWQMELE) has been proposed to reduce the moment constraints but requires the errors to have zero median instead of zero mean. Because changing zero mean to zero median destroys the ARMA‐GARCH structure and has a serious effect on skewed data, this article proposes an efficient empirical likelihood test for zero mean of errors in the application of SWQMELE to ensure that the model still concerns conditional mean. A simulation study confirms the good finite sample performance before applying the test to the US housing price indexes and financial returns for the study of comovement.