Point-of-care screening for heart failure with reduced ejection fraction using artificial intelligence during ECG-enabled stethoscope examination in London, UK: a prospective, observational, multicentre study. Issue 2 (February 2022)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Bachtiger, Patrik; Petri, Camille F; Scott, Francesca E; Ri Park, Se; Kelshiker, Mihir A; Sahemey, Harpreet K; Dumea, Bianca; Alquero, Regine; Padam, Pritpal S; Hatrick, Isobel R; Ali, Alfa; Ribeiro, Maria; Cheung, Wing-See; Bual, Nina; Rana, Bushra; Shun-Shin, Matthew; Kramer, Daniel B; Fragoyannis, Alex; Keene, Daniel; Plymen, Carla M; Peters, Nicholas S
• Is Part Of: Lancet. Volume 4:Issue 2(2022)
• Page Start: e117
• Page End: e125
• Publication Date: 2022-02
• Subjects: Medical care -- Data processing -- Periodicals; Medical care -- Information technology -- Periodicals; Medical informatics -- Periodicals; 610.285
• DOI: 10.1016/S2589-7500(21)00256-9
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 2589-7500

Abstract

Summary: Background: Most patients who have heart failure with a reduced ejection fraction, when left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is 40% or lower, are diagnosed in hospital. This is despite previous presentations to primary care with symptoms. We aimed to test an artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm applied to a single-lead ECG, recorded during ECG-enabled stethoscope examination, to validate a potential point-of-care screening tool for LVEF of 40% or lower. Methods: We conducted an observational, prospective, multicentre study of a convolutional neural network (known as AI-ECG) that was previously validated for the detection of reduced LVEF using 12-lead ECG as input. We used AI-ECG retrained to interpret single-lead ECG input alone. Patients (aged ≥18 years) attending for transthoracic echocardiogram in London (UK) were recruited. All participants had 15 s of supine, single-lead ECG recorded at the four standard anatomical positions for cardiac auscultation, plus one handheld position, using an ECG-enabled stethoscope. Transthoracic echocardiogram-derived percentage LVEF was used as ground truth. The primary outcome was performance of AI-ECG at classifying reduced LVEF (LVEF ≤40%), measured using metrics including the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), sensitivity, and specificity, with two-sided 95% CIs. The primary outcome was reported for each position individually and with an optimal combination of AI-ECG outputs (interval range 0–1) from two positions using a rule-based approach and several classification models. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04601415 . Findings: Between Feb 6 and May 27, 2021, we recruited 1050 patients (mean age 62 years [SD 17·4], 535 [51%] male, 432 [41%] non-White). 945 (90%) had an ejection fraction of at least 40%, and 105 (10%) had an ejection fraction of 40% or lower. Across all positions, ECGs were most frequently of adequate quality for AI-ECG interpretation at the pulmonary position (979 [93·3%] of 1050). Quality was lowest for the aortic position (846 [80·6%]). AI-ECG performed best at the pulmonary valve position (p=0·02), with an AUROC of 0·85 (95% CI 0·81–0·89), sensitivity of 84·8% (76·2–91·3), and specificity of 69·5% (66·4–72·6). Diagnostic odds ratios did not differ by age, sex, or non-White ethnicity. Taking the optimal combination of two positions (pulmonary and handheld positions), the rule-based approach resulted in an AUROC of 0·85 (0·81–0·89), sensitivity of 82·7% (72·7–90·2), and specificity of 79·9% (77·0–82·6). Using AI-ECG outputs from these two positions, a weighted logistic regression with l2 regularisation resulted in an AUROC of 0·91 (0·88–0·95), sensitivity of 91·9% (78·1–98·3), and specificity of 80·2% (75·5–84·3). Interpretation: A deep learning system applied to single-lead ECGs acquired during a routine examination with an ECG-enabled stethoscope can detect LVEF of 40% or lower. These findings highlight the potential for inexpensive, non-invasive, workflow-adapted, point-of-care screening, for earlier diagnosis and prognostically beneficial treatment. Funding: NHS Accelerated Access Collaborative, NHSX, and the National Institute for Health Research.