Forecasting Foreign Direct Investment Inflow to Egypt and Determinates: Using Machine Learning Algorithms and ARIMA Model. (6th December 2021)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Abd El-Aal, Mohamed F.; Algarni, Ali; Fayomi, Aisha; Abdul Rahman, RAahayu; Alrashidi, Khudir
• Other Names: Arif Muhammad Academic Editor.
• Is Part Of: Journal of advanced transportation. Volume 2021(2021)
• Publication Date: 2021-12-06
• Subjects: Transportation -- Periodicals; 388.05
• DOI: 10.1155/2021/9614101
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0197-6729

Abstract

Abstract : This study aims to determine the primary determination of FDI inflow to Egypt using machine learning algorithms and the ARIMA model and get an accurate prediction of FDI inflow to Egypt during the current decade (2020–2030) and approved that the gradient boosting model is the most accurate algorithms. Also, we find stability in economic indicators in Egypt during the current decade using the ARIMA model. The last step approved that the primary determinant of FDI inflow to Egypt is the Human Development Index, followed by population size, gross domestic product per capita, lending rate, and gross domestic product value.