Dual‐grained representation for hand, foot, and mouth disease prediction within public health cyber‐physical systems. (8th December 2020)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Wang, Zhijin; Huang, Yaohui; He, Bingyan
• Other Names: Zhou Junlong guestEditor.; Kritikakou Angeliki guestEditor.; Zhu Dakai guestEditor.; Lastra Jose L. Martinez guestEditor.; Hu Shiyan guestEditor.
• Is Part Of: Software, practice & experience. Volume 51:Number 11(2021)
• Page Start: 2290
• Page End: 2305
• Publication Date: 2020-12-08
• Subjects: dual‐grained representation -- HFMD prediction -- public health cyber‐physical systems -- real data validation; Computer software -- Periodicals; Computer programming -- Periodicals; Computer programs -- Periodicals; 005.3
• DOI: 10.1002/spe.2940
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0038-0644

Abstract

Abstract: The prediction model is a major component within public health cyber‐physical systems, which supports decisions on prevention and control of diseases. Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is one of the most common global infectious diseases with the highest incidence rate. Previous HFMD prediction models are mainly based on the time series that counted in equal‐grained time intervals. However, there are details in the time series counted in fine‐grained time intervals. To benefit from both equal‐grained and fine‐grained data, we proposed a dual‐grained representation (DGR) model. The DGR first represents inputted data to temporal patterns. Then, the represented patterns are consolidated to generate predictions. Experimental comparisons of the short‐term prediction performance are figured out by using real outpatient collections in Xiamen, China.