Online-coupling of widely-ranged timescales to model coral reef development. (September 2021)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Hendrickx, Gijs G.; Herman, Peter M.J.; Dijkstra, Jasper T.; Storlazzi, Curt D.; Toth, Lauren T.
• Is Part Of: Environmental modelling & software. Volume 143(2021)
• Publication Date: 2021-09
• Subjects: Coral reefs -- Biophysical model -- Timescales -- Hydrodynamics -- Light -- Temperature -- pH; Environmental monitoring -- Computer programs -- Periodicals; Ecology -- Computer simulation -- Periodicals; Digital computer simulation -- Periodicals; Computer software -- Periodicals; Environmental Monitoring -- Periodicals; Computer Simulation -- Periodicals; Environnement -- Surveillance -- Logiciels -- Périodiques; Écologie -- Simulation, Méthodes de -- Périodiques; Simulation par ordinateur -- Périodiques; Logiciels -- Périodiques; Computer software; Digital computer simulation; Ecology -- Computer simulation; Environmental monitoring -- Computer programs; Periodicals; Electronic journals; 363.70015118
• DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2021.105103
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 1364-8152

Abstract

Abstract: The increasing pressure on Earth's ecosystems due to climate change is becoming more and more evident and the impacts of climate change are especially visible on coral reefs. Understanding how climate change interacts with the physical environment of reefs to impact coral growth and reef development is critically important to predicting the persistence of reefs into the future. In this study, a biophysical model was developed including four environmental factors in a feedback loop with the coral's biology: (1) light; (2) hydrodynamics; (3) temperature; and (4) pH. The submodels are online coupled, i.e. regularly exchanging information and feedbacks while the model runs. This ensures computational efficiency despite the widely-ranged timescales. The composed biophysical model provides a significant step forward in understanding the processes that modulate the evolution of coral reefs, as it is the first construction of a model in which the hydrodynamics are included in the feedback loop. Highlights: A biophysical model framework for coral reef evolution is developed. The model can be used to predict the coral response to the environment via process-based relations. The model bridges the gap in timescales of processes from seconds to millennia. Model predictions are within the accuracy of climate projections. The model is an efficient tool for forecasting coral reef development to inform policy makers.