Covid 19 and its labor demand, migration, and military force structure implications in East Asia. (5th March 2021)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Nichiporuk, Brian
• Is Part Of: Journal for peace and nuclear disarmament. Volume 4(2021)Supplement 1
• Page Start: 308
• Page End: 319
• Publication Date: 2021-03-05
• Subjects: East asian demography -- east asian security -- east asian militaries -- covid 19 in east asia -- pandemics -- international security; Nuclear disarmament -- Periodicals; Nuclear disarmament; Periodicals; 327.174705
• DOI: 10.1080/25751654.2021.1898268
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 2575-1654

Abstract

ABSTRACT: This paper takes a high level look at the potential long term implications of the Covid 19 crisis in East Asia by using the demographic lens to examine three areas: impacts on labor markets, possible mass migration scenarios, and the effect on regional militaries. In the area of labor markets, the paper argues that Covid will compel most East Asian states to find new ways of utilizing their older workers and to increase the flexibility of their labor markets. In the area of mass migration, the paper examines possible scenarios having to do with North Korean state collapse and urban-rural migration trends in China. Finally, in the military sphere, the paper argues that the Covid crisis could significantly affect nuclear weapons security protocols in the region, the manpower and personnel policies of certain militaries, and the frequency, scope, and size of major exercises.