Addressing the growth and employment effects of the extractive industries: white and black box illustrations from Kazakhstan. Issue 4 (19th May 2021)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Sadik-Zada, Elkhan Richard
• Is Part Of: Post-communist economies. Volume 33:Issue 4(2021)
• Page Start: 402
• Page End: 434
• Publication Date: 2021-05-19
• Subjects: Commodity revenues -- input-output model -- multicollinearity -- employment effects -- sovereign wealth fund -- linkage effects -- enclave industry -- Kazakhstan; Post-communism -- Economic aspects -- Periodicals; Russia (Federation) -- Economic conditions -- Periodicals; Europe, Eastern -- Economic conditions -- Periodicals; 330.91717
• DOI: 10.1080/14631377.2020.1745557
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 1463-1377

Abstract

ABSTRACT: This survey addresses production and employment effects, which emanate from the extractive industries of Kazakhstan. To this end, the study employs static input-output models (IOMs) of Kazakhstan for the years 2007, 2010, 2012, and 2017 and dynamic nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) models for the period 1995–2018. IOMs show that extractives in Kazakhstan exhibit relatively strong links to domestic manufacturing. NARDL estimators reveal a positive relationship between commodity revenues and manufacturing value added in the commodity revenue boom phase and a high level of resilience of Kazakh manufacturing to the downward movements of the commodity revenues. Commodity revenues have a statistically significant positive impact on the aggregate employment rate. The study does not detect asymmetries concerning the job creation effects of extractives in the manufacturing sector.