All I want for Christmas is…Rigorous validation of predictive models to prevent hasty generalisations. Issue 6 (21st November 2019)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Mateen, Bilal; Sonabend, Raphael
• Is Part Of: Significance. Volume 16:Issue 6(2019)
• Page Start: 20
• Page End: 24
• Publication Date: 2019-11-21
• Subjects: Statistics -- Periodicals; Social sciences -- Periodicals; 001.422
• DOI: 10.1111/j.1740-9713.2019.01336.x
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 1740-9705

Abstract

Abstract : Bilal Mateen and Raphael Sonabend are searching for Santa Claus, armed only with a statistical model to predict ear size based on age. The plan sounds ridiculous, but there's a serious lesson here about the limits of predictive models Abstract : Bilal Mateen and Raphael Sonabend are searching for Santa Claus, armed only with a statistical model to predict ear size based on age. The plan sounds ridiculous, but there's a serious lesson here about the limits of predictive models.