Assessing the cost of onshore wind development scenarios: Modelling of spatial and temporal distribution of wind power for the case of Poland. (July 2019)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Sliz-Szkliniarz, B.; Eberbach, J.; Hoffmann, B.; Fortin, M.
• Is Part Of: Renewable & sustainable energy reviews. Volume 109(2019)
• Page Start: 514
• Page End: 531
• Publication Date: 2019-07
• Subjects: GIS -- OpenStreetMap -- Regional power density -- Wind potential -- LCOE -- Poland; 10H 10 times the tip height of a wind turbine -- Act on RES Act on Renewable Energy Sources -- c Weibull scale parameter -- CAPEX capital expenditures -- CLC2000 Corine Land Cover 2000 -- DEM Digital Elevation Model -- distance regulation Act on Wind Farm Investments of 2016 -- Eel annual electrical energy yield -- Et electricity generated in year t -- EU European Union -- € Euro -- η the wind turbine availability -- f(V) the probability density function of the wind speed V -- GIS Geographical Information System -- IEC International Electrotechnical Commission -- k Weibull shape parameter -- km2 square kilometre -- kW kilowatt -- kWh kilowatt hour -- LCOE Levelized Cost of Electricity -- MWh Megawatt per hour -- m/s metre per second -- NUTS Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics -- OPEX operations and maintenance expenditures -- OSM Open Street Map -- % percent -- P(V) the power curve of w wind turbine -- RES Renewable Energy Sources -- SRTM Shuttle Radar Topography Mission -- SQliteDB SQLite database -- V annual average wind speed -- VBA Visual Basic for Applications -- WACC Weighted Average Cost of Capital -- WDPA World Database on Protected Areas; Renewable energy sources -- Periodicals; Power resources -- Periodicals; Énergies renouvelables -- Périodiques; Ressources énergétiques -- Périodiques; 333.794
• DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2019.04.039
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 1364-0321

Abstract

Abstract: Wind energy plays a key role in the transition to a low-carbon European energy system. The implementation of European and national targets for wind energy expansion is, however, challenged by technical, environmental, economic and social acceptance aspects. Further research on wind power expansion is compelled due to dynamic aspects such as land-use fluctuations, evolution of wind turbine technology, associated cost, and other factors. For that reason, a systematic approach for exploring future scenarios of onshore wind power development under techno-economic aspects and quantitative aspects of social acceptance (distributive justice and regulatory framework) was developed. The model was developed in Python, PostgreSQL and SQliteDB and encompasses a high-resolution GIS-based assessment of potential locations for wind turbines. Homogenous input data allows for analysing the wind power potential across Europe. Poland was chosen as a case study to examine the impact of the distance regulation introduced in 2016 and its subsequent amendments, which are relevant for onshore wind power development foreseen in the EU reference scenario 2016 for 2030. The findings show that Poland can reach the target of 10.3 GW set by the EU scenario at Levelized Cost of Electricity below €60/MWh. The transparent modelling framework and findings can support the decision making process on wind energy expansion, which is in the hands of policy makers, private investors and local citizens. Highlights: Transferable approach for the assessment of wind power potentials across Europe. Distance regulation and spatial distribution to affect onshore wind energy costs. Method integrating quantifiable aspects of social acceptance. Case study for Poland and its onshore wind capacity target to be reached by 2030.