Positive Periodic Solutions of an Epidemic Model with Seasonality. (10th November 2013) - Sun, Gui-Quan
Abstract : An SEI autonomous model with logistic growth rate and its corresponding nonautonomous model are investigated. For the autonomous case, we give the attractive regions of equilibria and perform some numerical simulations. Basic demographic reproduction number R d is obtained. Moreover, only the basic reproduction number R 0 cannot ensure the existence of the positive equilibrium, which needs additional condition R d > R 1 . For the nonautonomous case, by introducing the basic reproduction number defined by the spectral radius, we study the uniform persistence and extinction of the disease. The results show that for the periodic system the basic reproduction number is more accurate than the average reproduction number.