Modeling HIV Epidemic under Contact Tracing — The Cuban Case. Issue 4 (2000)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: De Arazoza, H.; Lounes, R.; Hoang, T.; Interian, Y.
• Is Part Of: Journal of theoretical medicine. Volume 2:Issue 4(2000)
• Page Start: 267
• Page End: 274
• Publication Date: 2000
• Subjects: HIV/AIDS epidemic -- contact tracing -- epidemic control -- deterministic path -- birth and death process; Biological models -- Periodicals; Biological systems -- Mathematical models -- Periodicals
• DOI: 10.1080/10273660008833053
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 1027-3662

Abstract

Abstract : A nonlinear model is developed for an epidemic with contact tracing, and its dynamic is studied. A linear version of the model is presented in both deterministic and stochastic versions. We present the data for the cuban HIV/AIDS epidemic and fit the linear model to the data, we obtain estimates for the size of the Cuban HIV epidemic.