A NEW STUDY ON ASYMPTOTIC OPTIMALITY OF LEAST SQUARES MODEL AVERAGING. (14th April 2021)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Zhang, Xinyu
• Is Part Of: Econometric theory. Volume 37:Number 2(2021)
• Page Start: 388
• Page End: 407
• Publication Date: 2021-04-14
• Subjects: Econometrics -- Periodicals; 330.01519505
• DOI: 10.1017/S0266466620000055
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0266-4666

Abstract

Abstract : In this article, we present a comprehensive study of asymptotic optimality of least squares model averaging methods. The concept of asymptotic optimality is that in a large-sample sense, the method results in the model averaging estimator with the smallest possible prediction loss among all such estimators. In the literature, asymptotic optimality is usually proved under specific weights restriction or using hardly interpretable assumptions. This article provides a new approach to proving asymptotic optimality, in which a general weight set is adopted, and some easily interpretable assumptions are imposed. In particular, we do not impose any assumptions on the maximum selection risk and allow a larger number of regressors than that of existing studies.