Critical slowing down indicators. (18th December 2020)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Nazarimehr, Fahimeh; Jafari, Sajad; Perc, Matjaž; Sprott, Julien C.
• Is Part Of: Europhysics letters. Volume 132:Number 1(2020)
• Publication Date: 2020-12-18
• Subjects: 89.75.-k -- 05.45.-a; Physics -- Periodicals; Electronic journals; 530.05
• DOI: 10.1209/0295-5075/132/18001
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0295-5075

Abstract

Abstract: Critical slowing down is considered to be an important indicator for predicting critical transitions in dynamical systems. Researchers have used it prolifically in the fields of ecology, biology, sociology, and finance. When a system approaches a critical transition or a tipping point, it returns more slowly to its stable attractor under small perturbations. The return time to the stable state can thus be used as an index, which shows whether a critical change is near or not. Based on this phenomenon, many methods have been proposed to determine tipping points, especially in biological and social systems, for example, related to epidemic spreading, cardiac arrhythmias, or even population collapse. In this perspective, we briefly review past research dedicated to critical slowing down indicators and associated tipping points, and we outline promising directions for future research.