Optimization Under Uncertainty of Site-Specific Turbine Configurations. Issue 6 (September 2016)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Quick, J.; Dykes, K.; Graf, P.; Zahle, F.
• Is Part Of: Journal of physics. Volume 753:Issue 6(2016)
• Publication Date: 2016-09
• Subjects: Physics -- Congresses; 530.5
• DOI: 10.1088/1742-6596/753/6/062012
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 1742-6588

Abstract

Abstract: Uncertainty affects many aspects of wind energy plant performance and cost. In this study, we explore opportunities for site-specific turbine configuration optimization that accounts for uncertainty in the wind resource. As a demonstration, a simple empirical model for wind plant cost of energy is used in an optimization under uncertainty to examine how different risk appetites affect the optimal selection of a turbine configuration for sites of different wind resource profiles. If there is unusually high uncertainty in the site wind resource, the optimal turbine configuration diverges from the deterministic case and a generally more conservative design is obtained with increasing risk aversion on the part of the designer.