A multi-layer model for long-term KPI alignment forecasts for the air transportation system. (October 2020)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Delgado, Luis; Gurtner, Gérald; Cook, Andrew; Martín, Jorge; Cristóbal, Samuel
• Is Part Of: Journal of air transport management. Volume 89(2020)
• Publication Date: 2020-10
• Subjects: Agent-based model -- Microscopic model -- Performance assessment -- Emission indicators -- Passenger-centric indicators -- Long-term forecast -- Cost of uncertainty -- Cost of delay; Airlines -- Management -- Periodicals; Aeronautics, Commercial -- Management -- Periodicals; 387.7068
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2020.101905
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0969-6997

Abstract

Abstract: This article presents a new, holistic model for the air traffic management system, built during the Vista project. The model is an agent-driven simulator, featuring various stakeholders such as the Network Manager and airlines. It is a microscopic model based on individual passenger itineraries in Europe during one day of operations. The article focuses on the technical description of the model, including data and calibration issues, and presents selected key results for 2035 and 2050. In particular, we show clear trends regarding emissions, delay reduction, uncertainty, and increasing airline schedule buffers.