When Do Campaign Effects Persist for Years? Evidence from a Natural Experiment. Issue 4 (19th November 2019)
- Record Type:
- Journal Article
- Title:
- When Do Campaign Effects Persist for Years? Evidence from a Natural Experiment. Issue 4 (19th November 2019)
- Main Title:
- When Do Campaign Effects Persist for Years? Evidence from a Natural Experiment
- Authors:
- Jäger, Kai
- Abstract:
- Abstract: A unique revote allows for a natural experiment to evaluate whether campaign effects can last for nearly a decade: A right‐wing conservative party missed the 5% threshold in a German state by a mere vote in 2007, but the Constitutional Court ordered a revote in a single precinct over potential election fraud. After a one‐sided campaign focusing on law and order, the party's vote share increased more than sixfold. By comparing the precinct with its direct surroundings, the study shows that the revote campaign had long‐lasting effects on vote choice and broader security‐sensitive behavior. Residents in the revote precinct installed more warning signs on their property to deter burglars. They were not more supportive of right‐wing attitudes but were more likely to believe that election fraud reoccurred. Based on habitual‐voting and social‐norm theories, the study suggests that persuasion could be durable if candidates provide an unchallenged interpretation of political events.
- Is Part Of:
- American journal of political science. Volume 64:Issue 4(2020)
- Journal:
- American journal of political science
- Issue:
- Volume 64:Issue 4(2020)
- Issue Display:
- Volume 64, Issue 4 (2020)
- Year:
- 2020
- Volume:
- 64
- Issue:
- 4
- Issue Sort Value:
- 2020-0064-0004-0000
- Page Start:
- 836
- Page End:
- 851
- Publication Date:
- 2019-11-19
- Subjects:
- Political science -- Periodicals
Electronic journals
Computer network resources
320.05 - Journal URLs:
- http://books.google.com/books?id=b3YbAAAAIAAJ ↗
http://books.google.com/books?id=vHobAAAAIAAJ ↗
http://books.google.com/books?id=KH0bAAAAIAAJ ↗
http://books.google.com/books?id=hH4bAAAAIAAJ ↗
http://catalog.hathitrust.org/api/volumes/oclc/1789847.html ↗
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1111/%28ISSN%291540-5907 ↗
http://www.jstor.org/journals/00925853.html ↗
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/ ↗
http://firstsearch.oclc.org ↗
http://firstsearch.oclc.org/journal=0092-5853;screen=info;ECOIP ↗ - DOI:
- 10.1111/ajps.12488 ↗
- Languages:
- English
- ISSNs:
- 0092-5853
- Deposit Type:
- Legaldeposit
- View Content:
- Available online (eLD content is only available in our Reading Rooms) ↗
- Physical Locations:
- British Library DSC - 0834.300000
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- 14429.xml