Effects of oil price fall on the betas in the Unconventional Oil & Gas Industry. (September 2020) - Teti, Emanuele
Abstract: We examine the consequences of the oil prices movements started in July 2014 on the financial systematic risk – proxied by Betas – of firms operating in the Unconventional Oil & Gas Industry, compared to that of the Conventional Oil & Gas players. The analysis is developed using two cross section regressions, performed before and after the 2014 oil price drop respectively. The results look coherent with the reasonable belief that a sharp and sudden decrease in the oil price can generally lead to higher Betas in the Oil & Gas Industry. Interestingly, it emerged that the market tends to attribute an additional risk to unconventional firms and, analyzing the regression coefficients evolution, it appears that this circumstance has been substantially amplified by the 2014 oil price shock. To our knowledge this is the first paper covering the topic treated. Highlights: A sharp and sudden decrease in the oil price can generally lead to higher Betas. The market tends to attribute an additional risk to unconventional firms. The leverage moderately grows, but its statistical significance literally booms. Better financial institutions would imply reduction for unconventional players. Freer financial systems would make markets risk more effective.