(Dis)aggregated earnings forecasts and acquisition financing. Issue 2 (22nd November 2019)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Ordyna, Paul
• Is Part Of: Asian review of accounting. Volume 28:Issue 2(2020)
• Page Start: 255
• Page End: 271
• Publication Date: 2019-11-22
• Subjects: M&A -- Voluntary disclosure -- Earnings forecasts -- Pro-forma earnings forecasts; Accounting -- Asia -- Periodicals; Accounting -- Pacific Area -- Periodicals; Accounting -- Periodicals; 657.095
• DOI: 10.1108/ARA-03-2019-0077
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 1321-7348

Abstract

Abstract : Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to examine how a firm's mergers and acquisitions (M&A) goals influence its voluntary disclosure policy. Specifically, this paper examines how a firm's M&A financing intentions influence the degree of aggregation in management guidance prior to and after the M&A transaction. Design/methodology/approach: Using a logistic model, this study tests the relation between M&A financing and the decision to issue disaggregate earnings guidance for 3, 929 acquiring firms from 2007 to 2011. Findings: The logistic regression results show that firms are more likely to provide disaggregate earnings guidance when using mostly stock to finance M&A and that the incentives to disaggregate guidance vary throughout the M&A transactional window. Alternatively, because the value of cash is independent of the true value of the acquirer, the results show that firms offering mostly cash to finance M&A are less likely to issue disaggregate earnings forecasts. Additional analysis reveals that the decision to issue disaggregate earnings guidance also influences post-merger outcomes such as CEO turnover. Research limitations/implications: The choice to disaggregate earnings guidance and the choice to use stock as a means to finance an acquisition is made by management, thus are endogenous which could introduce bias. Originality/value: This study provides insights into management's incentives and attitudes toward the use of management forecasts to effect a potential merger and acquisition. Given the flexibility management has in issuing voluntary forecasts, management can tailor a financial message toward investors and potential targets in attempt to facilitate a merger and acquisition and to further the firm's goals.