Reconstruction of regional and national population using intermittent census-type data: The case of Portugal, 1527–1864. Issue 1 (2nd January 2020)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Palma, Nuno; Reis, Jaime; Zhang, Mengtian
• Is Part Of: Historical methods. Volume 53:Issue 1(2020)
• Page Start: 11
• Page End: 27
• Publication Date: 2020-01-02
• Subjects: demographic reconstructions -- early modern Portugal -- nineteenth century Portugal; C65 -- J11 -- N33; Social sciences -- Periodicals; Onderzoeksmethoden; Electronic journals; Périodique électronique (Descripteur de forme); Ressource Internet (Descripteur de forme); 300.5
• DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2019.1666762
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0161-5440

Abstract

Abstract: We offer a new methodology for the construction of annual population stocks over the very long run. Our method does not require the assumption of a closed economy, and can be used in situations in which local annual gross flows are obtainable. Combining gross flows with intermittent census-type data, it is possible to arrive at local, regional and national population stock estimates at annual frequencies. We provide an application to early modern and nineteenth century Portugal, using a large sample of parish-level statistics up to the first modern census of 1864. All six major regions of the country are considered.