The impact of the Three Gorges Dam on summer streamflow in the Yangtze River Basin. Issue 3 (25th November 2019)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Su, Zhenkuan; Ho, Michelle; Hao, Zhenchun; Lall, Upmanu; Sun, Xun; Chen, Xi; Yan, Longzeng
• Is Part Of: Hydrological processes. Volume 34:Issue 3(2020)
• Page Start: 705
• Page End: 717
• Publication Date: 2019-11-25
• Subjects: canonical correlation analysis -- high flow -- low flow -- Three Gorges Dam; Hydrology -- Periodicals; Hydrology -- Research -- Periodicals; Hydrologic models -- Periodicals; Hydrological forecasting -- Periodicals; 631.432
• DOI: 10.1002/hyp.13619
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0885-6087

Abstract

Abstract: The Three Gorges Dam is the world's largest capacity hydropower station located in the Hubei province along the Yangtze River in China, which began operations in 2003. The dam also functions to store and regulate the downstream releases of water in order to provide flood control and navigational support in addition to hydropower generation. Flow regulation is particularly important for alleviating the impacts of low‐ and high‐flow events during the summer rainy season (June, July, and August). The impact of dam operations on summer flows is the focus of this work. Naturalized flows are modelled using a canonical correlation analysis and covariates of subbasin‐scale precipitation resulting in good model skill with an average correlation of 0.92. The model is then used to estimate natural flows in the period after dam operation. A comparison between modelled and gauged streamflow post 2003 is made and the impact of the dam on downstream flow is assessed. Streamflow variability is found to be strongly related to rainfall variability. An analysis of regional streamflow variability across the Yangtze River Basin showed a mode of spatially negatively correlated variability between the upper and lower basin areas. The Three Gorges Dam likely mitigated the occurrence of high‐flow events at Yichang station located near the dam. However, the high flow at the remaining stations in the lower reach is not noticeably alleviated due to the diminishing influence of the dam on distant downstream flows and the impact of the lakes downstream of the dam that act to attenuate flows. Three types of flow regime changes between naturalized and observed flows were defined and used to assess the changes in the occurrence of high‐ and low‐flow events resulting from dam operations. Abstract : The Three Gorges Dam is the world's largest capacity hydropower station along the Yangtze River in China. The dam has stored and regulated the downstream releases of water since 2003. Flow regulation is particularly important for alleviating the impacts of high flows and low flows that occur in the summer rainy season. Three types of flow regime changes were identified and summarized through the assessment of the occurrence of high flow and low flow events during the post dam period.