Evaluating Recent Updated Black Carbon Emissions and Revisiting the Direct Radiative Forcing in Arctic. Issue 6 (28th March 2019)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Dong, Xinyi; Zhu, Qingzhao; Fu, Joshua S.; Huang, Kan; Tan, Jiani; Tipton, Matthew
• Is Part Of: Geophysical research letters. Volume 46:Issue 6(2019)
• Page Start: 3560
• Page End: 3570
• Publication Date: 2019-03-28
• Subjects: black carbon -- emission -- biomass burning -- direct forcing -- Arctic -- gas flaring; Geophysics -- Periodicals; Planets -- Periodicals; Lunar geology -- Periodicals; 550
• DOI: 10.1029/2018GL081242
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0094-8276

Abstract

Abstract: There is significant uncertainty in the global inventory of black carbon (BC). Several recent studies have reported BC emission updates, including the Fire Emission Inventory‐northern Eurasia, anthropogenic emission in Russia, and global natural gas flaring. Compared with the inventory used by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, these updates are only 10% higher on a global scale but are 3 times greater than previous estimations in Arctic (60–90°N). We applied GEOS‐Chem to examine these emission updates and evaluate their impacts on direct forcing. We found that Fire Emission Inventory‐northern Eurasia may be substantially overestimated, Russia shows no prominent influence on simulation, and natural gas flaring noticeably improves simulation performance in the Arctic. Model estimated direct forcing of BC is increased by 30% on the global scale and is 2 times higher in the Arctic through application of these emission updates. This study reveals the urgent need to improve the reliability of emission inventories in the high latitudes, especially over Eurasia. Plain Language Summary: Recent black carbon (BC) emission updates suggest a substantially higher inventory than that used by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Through GEOS‐Chem modeling, we found that the Fire Emission Inventory‐northern Eurasia biomass burning emission is overestimated over northern Eurasia, likely due to employment of U.S. plants species‐based emission factors. Russian anthropogenic and natural gas flaring inventories help improve simulation performance in the Arctic. Model estimated direct forcing of BC is doubled when applying these emission updates, indicating the urgent need to further validate and improve the BC emission inventory. Key Points: Recent updated black carbon (BC) emissions are applied within GEOS‐Chem model to estimate BC direct forcing FEI‐NE may overestimate fire emission over northern Eurasia, probably because of applying the U.S. plant species‐based emission factors The emission updates are only 10% higher on global scale but are 3 times of the inventory used by IPCC in the Arctic region, leading to substantial enhancement of direct forcing estimation, and indicating the urgent need to further validate and improve these emissions