An African Growth Miracle?†. (9th December 2016)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Rodrik, Dani
• Is Part Of: Journal of African economies. Volume 27:Number 1(2018)
• Page Start: 10
• Page End: 27
• Publication Date: 2016-12-09
• Subjects: Africa -- economic growth -- economic reform -- industrialization; Africa -- Economic conditions -- 1960- -- Periodicals; Africa -- Economic policy -- Periodicals; 330.96
• DOI: 10.1093/jae/ejw027
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0963-8024

Abstract

Abstract: SSA has grown rapidly over the last decade, but a curious feature of this growth was that it was accompanied by little structural change towards non-traditional tradables (such as manufactures). Now that China, the advanced economies, and most emerging markets are all slowing down, the question whether Africa's high growth can be sustained looms larger. This article looks at this question from the lens of modern growth theory, paying particular attention to structural issues that are crucial for low-income countries. It comes down on the pessimistic side, due to what appear to be poor prospects for industrialization. This article also considers alternative models of growth, based on services instead of manufactures.