Identifying the factors behind fatal and non-fatal road crashes: a case study of Lahore, Pakistan. Issue 4 (2nd October 2018)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Batool, Irem; Hussain, Ghulam; Kanwal, Noreen; Abid, Muhammad
• Is Part Of: International journal of injury control and safety promotion. Volume 25:Issue 4(2018)
• Page Start: 401
• Page End: 407
• Publication Date: 2018-10-02
• Subjects: Fatal road crashes -- non-fatal road crashes -- logistic regression -- discriminant analysis -- Lahore -- Pakistan; Wounds and injuries -- Prevention -- Periodicals; Wounds and Injuries -- prevention & control -- Periodicals; Consumer Product Safety -- Periodicals; 363.107
• DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2018.1456466
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 1745-7300

Abstract

ABSTRACT: The study identifies the factors behind fatal and non-fatal road crashes in Lahore, Pakistan, by investigating 461 reported cases to Traffic Police Lahore that occurred during January–November 2014. Road crashes are categorized into fatal and non-fatal crashes and, because of the binary nature of the dependent variable, logistic regression is used to identify the factors behind these crashes. As a follow-up, discriminant analysis is employed to classify the factors related to fatal and non-fatal crashes. The logistic regression results reveal that females are at higher risk of fatalities than male drivers. Among vehicle types, rickshaws and cars are more involved in fatal accidents because both are growing at large on roads. Long trucks and trailers are also involved in fatal accidents, mainly because of their huge size and drivers' risky driving behaviours. It is also noted that risk of fatalities is higher in case where two vehicles bumped each other. Speeding and overloading are the common behaviours resulting in fatal crashes. Better urban transport systems and strict compliance with traffic rules and regulations may improve road safety in Pakistan.