To what extent is climate change adaptation a novel challenge for agricultural modellers?. (October 2019)
- Record Type:
- Journal Article
- Title:
- To what extent is climate change adaptation a novel challenge for agricultural modellers?. (October 2019)
- Main Title:
- To what extent is climate change adaptation a novel challenge for agricultural modellers?
- Authors:
- Kipling, R.P.
Topp, C.F.E.
Bannink, A.
Bartley, D.J.
Blanco-Penedo, I.
Cortignani, R.
del Prado, A.
Dono, G.
Faverdin, P.
Graux, A.-I.
Hutchings, N.J.
Lauwers, L.
Özkan Gülzari, Ş.
Reidsma, P.
Rolinski, S.
Ruiz-Ramos, M.
Sandars, D.L.
Sándor, R.
Schönhart, M.
Seddaiu, G.
van Middelkoop, J.
Shrestha, S.
Weindl, I.
Eory, V. - Abstract:
- Abstract: Modelling is key to adapting agriculture to climate change (CC), facilitating evaluation of the impacts and efficacy of adaptation measures, and the design of optimal strategies. Although there are many challenges to modelling agricultural CC adaptation, it is unclear whether these are novel or, whether adaptation merely adds new motivations to old challenges. Here, qualitative analysis of modellers' views revealed three categories of challenge: Content, Use, and Capacity. Triangulation of findings with reviews of agricultural modelling and Climate Change Risk Assessment was then used to highlight challenges specific to modelling adaptation. These were refined through literature review, focussing attention on how the progressive nature of CC affects the role and impact of modelling. Specific challenges identified were: Scope of adaptations modelled, Information on future adaptation, Collaboration to tackle novel challenges, Optimisation under progressive change with thresholds, and Responsibility given the sensitivity of future outcomes to initial choices under progressive change. Graphical abstract: Image 1 Highlights: Modelling plays a key role in adapting agriculture to climate change. Modellers' views and literature were analysed to identify adaptation-specific issues. Novel challenges to modelling climate change adaptation were explored. Challenges related to Responsibility, Scope, Optimisation, Information, Collaboration. Adaptation to progressive climateAbstract: Modelling is key to adapting agriculture to climate change (CC), facilitating evaluation of the impacts and efficacy of adaptation measures, and the design of optimal strategies. Although there are many challenges to modelling agricultural CC adaptation, it is unclear whether these are novel or, whether adaptation merely adds new motivations to old challenges. Here, qualitative analysis of modellers' views revealed three categories of challenge: Content, Use, and Capacity. Triangulation of findings with reviews of agricultural modelling and Climate Change Risk Assessment was then used to highlight challenges specific to modelling adaptation. These were refined through literature review, focussing attention on how the progressive nature of CC affects the role and impact of modelling. Specific challenges identified were: Scope of adaptations modelled, Information on future adaptation, Collaboration to tackle novel challenges, Optimisation under progressive change with thresholds, and Responsibility given the sensitivity of future outcomes to initial choices under progressive change. Graphical abstract: Image 1 Highlights: Modelling plays a key role in adapting agriculture to climate change. Modellers' views and literature were analysed to identify adaptation-specific issues. Novel challenges to modelling climate change adaptation were explored. Challenges related to Responsibility, Scope, Optimisation, Information, Collaboration. Adaptation to progressive climate change highlights social impacts of model use. … (more)
- Is Part Of:
- Environmental modelling & software. Volume 120(2019)
- Journal:
- Environmental modelling & software
- Issue:
- Volume 120(2019)
- Issue Display:
- Volume 120, Issue 2019 (2019)
- Year:
- 2019
- Volume:
- 120
- Issue:
- 2019
- Issue Sort Value:
- 2019-0120-2019-0000
- Page Start:
- Page End:
- Publication Date:
- 2019-10
- Subjects:
- Adaptation -- Agricultural modelling -- Climate change -- Research challenges
Environmental monitoring -- Computer programs -- Periodicals
Ecology -- Computer simulation -- Periodicals
Digital computer simulation -- Periodicals
Computer software -- Periodicals
Environmental Monitoring -- Periodicals
Computer Simulation -- Periodicals
Environnement -- Surveillance -- Logiciels -- Périodiques
Écologie -- Simulation, Méthodes de -- Périodiques
Simulation par ordinateur -- Périodiques
Logiciels -- Périodiques
Computer software
Digital computer simulation
Ecology -- Computer simulation
Environmental monitoring -- Computer programs
Periodicals
Electronic journals
363.70015118 - Journal URLs:
- http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/13648152 ↗
http://www.elsevier.com/journals ↗ - DOI:
- 10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.104492 ↗
- Languages:
- English
- ISSNs:
- 1364-8152
- Deposit Type:
- Legaldeposit
- View Content:
- Available online (eLD content is only available in our Reading Rooms) ↗
- Physical Locations:
- British Library DSC - 3791.522800
British Library DSC - BLDSS-3PM
British Library HMNTS - ELD Digital store - Ingest File:
- 11675.xml