Accuracy analyses and model comparison of machine learning adopted in building energy consumption prediction. Issue 4 (July 2019)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Liu, Zhijian; Wu, Di; Liu, Yuanwei; Han, Zhonghe; Lun, Liyong; Gao, Jun; Jin, Guangya; Cao, Guoqing
• Is Part Of: Energy exploration & exploitation. Volume 37:Issue 4(2019)
• Page Start: 1426
• Page End: 1451
• Publication Date: 2019-07
• Subjects: Machine learning method -- artificial neural networks (ANNs) -- support vector machines (SVMs) -- energy consumption prediction -- building energy saving; Power resources -- Periodicals; 333.79
• DOI: 10.1177/0144598718822400
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0144-5987

Abstract

It is of great significance to achieve the prediction of building energy consumption. However, machine learning, as a promising technique for many practical applications, was rarely utilized in this field. The most important reason is that the predictive structure with best performance is difficult to be determined. To fill the gap, this paper offers one in-depth review, which focuses on the accuracy analyses and model comparisons. Specifically, the accuracy analyses were conducted based on different types of buildings (e.g. residential building, commercial building, government building or educational building), different type of temporal granularity (e.g. sub-hourly, hourly, daily or annual), as well as input/output variables and historical data collections. Further, artificial neural network (ANN) and support vector machine (SVM), as the epidemic models, were compared in terms of their complexity of prediction processes, accuracies of results, the amounts of required historical data, the numbers of inputs, etc. Then the hybrid and single machine learning methods were outlined and compared in terms of their strengths and weaknesses. In addition, several vital defects and further research directions are presented from a multivariate perspective. We hope that machine learning method could capture more attention from investigators via our introduction and perspective, due to its potential development of accuracy and reliability.