Cubremot: A tool for building model-based trees for ordinal responses. (15th June 2019)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Cappelli, C.; Simone, R.; Di Iorio, F.
• Is Part Of: Expert systems with applications. Volume 124(2019)
• Page Start: 39
• Page End: 49
• Publication Date: 2019-06-15
• Subjects: Model-based trees -- Uncertainty -- cub models -- Trust in EU parliament -- Benchmark study; Expert systems (Computer science) -- Periodicals; Systèmes experts (Informatique) -- Périodiques; Electronic journals; 006.33
• DOI: 10.1016/j.eswa.2019.01.009
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0957-4174

Abstract

Highlights: Novel technique for growing model-based trees for ordinal responses proposed. Mixture models estimated at nodes accounting for uncertainty in ordinal scores. Splitting criteria featuring both inferential and fitting issues introduced. Effective graphical visualization of the results and flexibility. Application to survey data and benchmark study to assess the proposal. Abstract: The paper introduces a new technique for growing trees for ordinal responses in the model-based framework. We consider the class ofcub mixtures which is particularly appropriate to model perceptions and evaluations, as it designs the response process as the combination of a personal feeling and an inherent uncertainty . In our proposal, the partitioning process is based on the local estimation ofcub regression models to profile responses according to feeling and uncertainty conditional to the splitting variables. In this regard, two alternative splitting criteria are introduced featuring both inferential and fitting issues. Moreover, the chosen modelling framework allows for advantageous visualization of the classification results. The proposal is illustrated using real data from a survey conducted by the Italian National Statistical Office, with focus on perceived trust towards the European Parliament. A benchmark study is conducted to settle the proposal among the available tree methods for ordinal responses.