A constrained portfolio trading system using particle swarm algorithm and recurrent reinforcement learning. (15th September 2019)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Almahdi, Saud; Yang, Steve Y.
• Is Part Of: Expert systems with applications. Volume 130(2019)
• Page Start: 145
• Page End: 156
• Publication Date: 2019-09-15
• Subjects: Recurrent reinforcement learning -- Particle swarm optimization -- Optimal portfolio rebalancing -- Portfolio constraint; Expert systems (Computer science) -- Periodicals; Systèmes experts (Informatique) -- Périodiques; Electronic journals; 006.33
• DOI: 10.1016/j.eswa.2019.04.013
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0957-4174

Abstract

Highlights: Combine recurrent reinforcement learning and particle swarm for portfolio trading. Enhance particle swarm portfolio optimization with Calmar ratio as fitness function. Prove effectiveness of the method through an efficient frontier and a cost analysis. Develop a dynamic adaptive long/short constrained portfolio trading system. Abstract: This study extends a recurrent reinforcement portfolio allocation and rebalancing management system with complex portfolio constraints using particle swarm algorithms. In particular, we propose to use a combination of recurrent reinforcement learning (RRL) and particle swarm algorithm (PSO) with Calmar ratio for both asset allocation and constraint optimization. Using S&P100 index stocks, we show such a system with a Calmar ratio based objective function yields a better efficient frontier than the Sharpe ratio and mean-variance based portfolios. By comparing with multiple PSO based long only constrained portfolios, we propose an optimal portfolio trading system that is capable of generating both long and short signals and handling the common portfolio constraints. We further develop an adaptive RRL-PSO portfolio rebalancing decision system with a market condition stop-loss retraining mechanism, and we show that the proposed portfolio trading system outperforms the benchmarks consistently especially under high transaction cost conditions.