A pseudo-optimal inexact stochastic interval T2 fuzzy sets approach for energy and environmental systems planning under uncertainty: A case study for Xiamen City of China. (15th January 2015)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Jin, L.; Huang, G.H.; Fan, Y.R.; Wang, L.; Wu, T.
• Is Part Of: Applied energy. Volume 138(2015:Jan. 15)
• Page Start: 71
• Page End: 90
• Publication Date: 2015-01-15
• Subjects: Pseudo-optimal programming -- Stochastic programming -- Interval type-2 fuzzy sets boundary -- Energy systems planning; Power (Mechanics) -- Periodicals; Energy conservation -- Periodicals; Energy conversion -- Periodicals; 621.042
• DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2014.10.024
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0306-2619

Abstract

Highlights: Propose a new energy PIS-IT2FSLP model for Xiamen City under uncertainties. Analyze the energy supply, demand, and its flow structure of this city. Use real energy statistics to prove the superiority of PIS-IT2FSLP method. Obtain optimal solutions that reflect environmental requirements. Help local authorities devise an optimal energy strategy for this local area. Abstract: In this study, a new Pseudo-optimal Inexact Stochastic Interval Type-2 Fuzzy Sets Linear Programming (PIS-IT2FSLP) energy model is developed to support energy system planning and environment requirements under uncertainties for Xiamen City. The PIS-IT2FSLP model is based on an integration of interval Type 2 (T2) Fuzzy Sets (FS) boundary programming and stochastic linear programming techniques, enables it to have robust abilities to the tackle uncertainties expressed as T2 FS intervals and probabilistic distributions within a general optimization framework. This new model can sophisticatedly facilitate system analysis of energy supply and energy conversion processes, and environmental requirements as well as provide capacity expansion options with multiple periods. The PIS-IT2FSLP model was applied to a real case study of Xiamen energy systems. Based on a robust two-step solution algorithm, reasonable solutions have been obtained, which reflect tradeoffs between economic and environmental requirements, and among seasonal volatility energy demands of the right hand side constraints of Xiamen energy system. Thus, the lower and upper solutions of PIS-IT2FSLP would then help local energy authorities adjust current energy patterns, and discover an optimal energy strategy for the development of Xiamen City.