A Counterexample to Three Imprecise Decision Theories. Issue 1 (27th November 2018)

• Record Type: Journal Article
• Authors: Bradley, Seamus
• Is Part Of: Theoria. Volume 85:Issue 1(2019)
• Page Start: 18
• Page End: 30
• Publication Date: 2018-11-27
• Subjects: decision theory -- formal epistemology -- imprecise probability; Philosophy -- Periodicals; Psychology -- Periodicals; 105
• DOI: 10.1111/theo.12170
• Languages: English
• ISSNs: 0040-5825

Abstract

Abstract: There is currently much discussion about how decision making should proceed when an agent's degrees of belief are imprecise; represented by a set of probability functions. I show that decision rules recently discussed by Sarah Moss, Susanna Rinard and Rohan Sud all suffer from the same defect: they all struggle to rationalize diachronic ambiguity aversion. Since ambiguity aversion is among the motivations for imprecise credence, this suggests that the search for an adequate imprecise decision rule is not yet over.